Thunderstorm Watch #NCR_PRSD Issued at: 10:00 AM, 03 October 2024 Thunderstorm is MORE LIKELY to develop over Greater Metro Manila Area(Metro Manila, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna and Cavite) within 12 hours. All are advised to continue monitoring for updates.

Thunderstorm Watch #VISPRSD Issued at 10:00 AM 03 October 2024 Thunderstorm is MORE LIKELY to develop over #Leyte, #SouthernLeyte, #EasternSamar, #Samar, #Iloilo, #Guimaras, #Aklan, #Capiz and #Antique within 12 hours.

Thunderstorm Advisory No. 6 #NCR_PRSD Issued at: 5:48 PM, 03 October 2024(Thursday) Moderate to heavy rainshowers with lightning and strong winds are expected over Nueva Ecija, Pampanga, Tarlac, Metro Manila, Cavite, Zambales, Bataan, Laguna and Batangas within the next 3 hours. The above conditions are being experienced in Bulacan(Norzagaray), Rizal(Rodriguez, Tanay) and Quezon(General Nakar) which may persist within 2 hours and may affect nearby areas. All are advised to take precautionary measures against the impacts associated with these hazards which include flash floods and landslides. Keep monitoring for updates.

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "JULIAN" {KRATHON} was estimated based on all available data at 245 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.6°N, 120.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 200 km/h. It is moving Northeastward at 10 km/h. Easterlies affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to occasional moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Surigao Del Sur** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Cantilan, Carac-An, Tandag, Tago, Hubo-Oteiza, Hinatuan, and Bislig. + **Dinagat Islands** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Malinao Inlet and Gaas Lulet. + **Agusan Del Sur** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Ojot, Wawa, Libang, Maosam, Kasilan, Gibong, Adgaoan, Simulao, Kayonan and Andanan. + **Surigao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Surigao and Magallanes. + **Agusan Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lake-Mainit-Tubay, Asiga, Agusan, Linugos and Cabadbaran.

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "JULIAN" {KRATHON} was estimated based on all available data at 245 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.6°N, 120.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 200 km/h. It is moving Northeastward at 10 km/h. Easterlies affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to occasional moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES STILL LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Davao Del Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Tagum-Libuganon, Tuganay, and Saug. + **Davao De Oro** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Matiao and Hijo. + **Davao Del Sur** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Davao, Lasang, Bunawan, Matina, Talomo, Lipadas, Tagulaya Sibulan, Digos, and Padada Mainit. + **Davao Oriental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Cateel, Dapnan, Baganga Mahan-ub, Manorigao, Caraga, Casaunan, Quinonoan, Bagwan, Mayo, Bitanayan, Sumlog, Tangmoan, Dacongbonwa, Kabasagan, Manay, Maya and Sumlao/Cuabo + **Davao Occidental** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Panglan, Malita, Batanan (Lais, Lawan, Latuan, Calian, Lamita, Lawayon, Culama, Caburan Bi, Maubio, Karabana, Tubayo, Kayapung, Malala, Capisolo, Tanoman Bi, Tanoman Smal, Kalbay, Butua, Nuin, Butula, Baki, Malagupo, Balagona, Batulaki

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "JULIAN" {KRATHON} was estimated based on all available data at 245 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.6°N, 120.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 200 km/h. It is moving Northeastward at 10 km/h. Easterlies affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Cagayan** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Linao, Lower Abulug, Lower Pamplona, Cabicungan, Aunugay, Baua, Palawig and Taboan. + **Batanes** - All rivers and its tributaries

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "JULIAN" {KRATHON} was estimated based on all available data at 245 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.6°N, 120.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 200 km/h. It is moving Northeastward at 10 km/h. Easterlies affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Ilocos Norte** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Bulu, Banban, Bacarra-Vintar, Laoag and Quiaoit. + **Ilocos Sur** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Lower Abra, Silay-Sta. Maria, Buaya, and Amburayan.

Under present weather conditions, At 3:00 PM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "JULIAN" {KRATHON} was estimated based on all available data at 245 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.6°N, 120.5°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 200 km/h. It is moving Northeastward at 10 km/h. Easterlies affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. The 12-hour rainfall forecast is light to moderate rains and thunderstorms. WATERCOURSES LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED : + **Abra** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Abra, Tineg and Ikmin. + **Apayao** - Rivers and its tributaries particularly Upper Abulug and Upper Pamplona. + **Kalinga** - All rivers and its tributaries

A tropical cyclone will affect the locality. Winds of 39-61 kph or intermittent rains may be expected within 36 hours. “JULIAN” HAS RE-ENTERED THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY AND IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN TAIWAN. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 245 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (22.4, 120.2). Strength : Maximum winds of 120 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 165 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move East Northeastward. Forecast position : Oct 03, 2024 08:00 PM - 260 km Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or in the vicinity of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan Oct 04, 2024 08:00 AM - 290 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or in the vicinity of Tainan City, Taiwan Oct 04, 2024 08:00 PM - 325 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes or in the vicinity of Chiayi County, Taiwan HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Severe Winds   The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are weaker in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction. Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS A Gale Warning is hoisted over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 13 issued at 5:00 AM today. 24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook Very rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.5 m over the seaboard of Batanes Sea travel is risky for most types or tonnage of vessels, including all small seacrafts and motorbancas. Mariners are advised to remain in port or seek safe shelter or harbor. Moderate or rough seas over the following coastal waters: Up to 4.0 m over the seaboards of Babuyan Islands and Ilocos Norte Up to 3.5 m over the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Region Up to 3.0 m over the seaboard of Zambales Up to 2.5 m over the northern seaboard of mainland Cagayan, the western seaboard of Lubang Island, the western seaboard of Calamian Islands, and the seaboard of Kalayaan Islands Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK JULIAN is forecast to make landfall over southwestern Taiwan this afternoon. Due to a combination of incoming northeasterly wind flow over the East China Sea and Taiwan Strait and lower ocean heat content in its vicinity (which is related to upwelling of cooler waters caused by its slow movement for nearly three days), JULIAN is forecast to continue weakening. Despite its re-entry in the PAR region, no direct effect is anticipated over the country except for Batanes, which is relatively close to Taiwan. After landfall, JULIAN is forecast to move erratically over Taiwan while rapidly weakening due to land interaction. This tropical cyclone is forecast to become a remnant low over Taiwan tomorrow (4 October).